With the alarming level of
Household Debt to GDP ratio standing at 83 percent, the banning of Developer
Interest Bearing Scheme (DIBS) and rising of Real Property Gain Tax (RPGT)
didn't come unexpected by the public during the unveiling of Budget 2014 by the
prime minister. And that's after the measures taken by the Bank Negara Malaysia
(BNM) to limit the tenure of housing loan to maximum 35 years and refinancing
with cash out or top-up loan to 10 years.
In less than a month time, BNM
issued a new circular, "Measures to
Promote Sustainability of the Property Market", on 15th Nov 2013. It
calls the financial institutions to use Net Selling Price to determine
Loan-To-Value (LTV) ratio or more commonly known as Margin of Financing (MOF). So
far, this is the boldest and sternest action taken by BNM to curb the potential
uptick of household debt.
If any of you thought DIBS was the
sole culprit of rising home prices, then you are probably making a mistake.
The usage of Gross Selling Price by the financial institutions for MOF is the
main driver behind the booming of primary market. Both genuine home buyers and
investors have benefited from it although their objectives differ from each
other.
Old Measure (Borrowing based on Gross
Selling Price)
|
|
Gross Selling Price
|
RM500K
|
Margin of Financing
|
90% or RM450K
|
Cash Rebate
|
9% or RM45K
|
Down Payment
|
1% or RM5K
|
New Measure (Borrowing based on Net
Selling Price)
|
|
Gross Selling Price
|
RM500K
|
Cash Rebate
|
9%
|
Net Selling Price
|
RM455K
|
Margin of Financing
|
90% or RM409.5K
|
Down Payment
|
10% or RM45.5K
|
Under the old measure, young adults
with a net monthly income of RM5K could easily snap up an under construction
property with a saving of RM5K (1 month salary!). They will only be servicing
the interest during the construction period. Nonetheless, the new measure will
require them to have a saving of 9.1 months for it!
On the other hand, investors’ goal is
always about the return on investment (ROI). Assuming the expected market price
of the property goes up to RM600K after completion. The gross profit would be
RM100K. Under the old measure, the ROI (excluding interest and other fees) is a
whopping 20 times (RM100K/RM5K)!! However, it could only up to 2.19 times under
the new measure.
The
incentive of buying property from the primary market is wearing off. This new
radical measure will indisputably decelerate the growth of the primary market and
the huge spike of the property prices could come to an end. The only untouched portion for household debt is hire purchase or passenger car loan. It is definitely not a surprise that the
auto industry becomes the next target of BNM.
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